Monday, January 11, 2010
Financial Intelligence for Entrepreneurs: What you really need to know about the numbers
For a deeper interpretation of the numbers, the authors present the formulas for profitability, leverage, liquidity, and efficiency. A discussion of finance would not be complete without explaining return on investment (ROI). The authors weigh the strengths and weaknesses of the three methods for calculating ROI, the payback method, the present value method (NPV), and the internal rate of return method. They demonstrate the value of engaging in all three calculations in financial analysis, but view NPV as the most accurate measure of ROI. The authors argue the importance of managing balance sheet levers--days sales outstanding (DSO) and inventory. Finally, the authors address cash conversion, the speed with which a company collects its cash.
The authors end the book by stressing the importance of having a financially literate company, educated workers who understand how their work habits and actions impact the company's bottom line, a message equally applicable to a family and its members.
Berman, K. & Knight, J. (2008). Financial Intelligence for Entrepreneurs: What you really need to know about the numbers. Boston, MA: Harvard Business Press.
http://www.financialintelligencebook.com/
Friday, November 27, 2009
John M. Morris and Virginia B. Morris: The Wall Street Journal Guide to Understanding Money and Investing (1999)
Full of charts, tables, and graphics, it provides illustrations and examples of concepts and financial processes, such as what happens during a purchase of stock on the New York Stock Exchange. Additionally, it shows correlations--the cause and effect relationship between weak and strong dollars on international stock purchases.
The book offered investment strategies, using options. As the authors stated:
"You can use options conservatively to increase your income or to limit your risk.
The most popular income-producing strategy is selling covered calls. You write call options on a share-for-share basis against stocks you own. If someone exercises the calls, you meet your obligation to sell by handing over your stocks. The goals of covered calls are to provide some protection if the stock price falls, establish a selling price above the current market price or increase your income in a sideways market, when prices move up and down within a very small range.
Writing cash-secured puts is another income-oriented approach. You sell a put for each 100 shares of stock an investor is willing to buy at a special price. Then, as security, you invest an equivalent amount in U.S. Treasury bills or a money market account. If the put is exercised, you liquidate that investment and use the cash to buy the stock"(pp. 144-145).
I plan to read more recent editions of this book, to make a comparison of the information they contain. Stay tuned!
Morris, K. M. & V. B. Morris. (1999). The Wall Street Journal Guide to Understanding Money and Investing. New York: Lightbulb Press, Inc. and Dow Jones & Co., Inc.
Tuesday, November 3, 2009
Time-Driven Activity-Based Costing
Robert Kaplan, best known for his work on the Balanced Scorecard, and Steven R. Anderson wrote this book to demonstrate how enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems enable companies to assess at the transaction level the time consumed in steps of processes. Specifically, time-driven activity-based costing measured the "cost and profitability of producing and delivering their products and services, and managing their customer relationships" (p. xi).
The Balanced Scorecard, equally as necessary for companies to evaluate their progress, reveals how companies create value for employees, shareholders, customers, and investors.
If a company realized a low total-cost strategy, activity-based costing enables managers to accurately measure the costs of significant processes. If a company has not gaged the profitability of their customers, activity-based costing provides insight into that information. According to the authors, customer profitability influences other customer metrics, "such as satisfaction, retention, and growth, to signal that customer relationships are desirable only if these relationships generate increased profits" (p. xii).
Traditional standard cost system employed three cost factors--labor, materials, and overhead. With increased automation, the authors argued that allocations of costs under this system became distorted. Activity-based costing corrected these distortions "by tracing these indirect and support costs first to the activities performed by the organization's shared resources, and then assigning the activity costs down to orders, products, and customers on the basis of the quantity of each organizational activity consumed" (p. 5).
Anderson improved on the activity-based costing model with the 'time-driven activity-based costing' (TDABC). Finding the data gathering to support the conventional model "time-consuming . . . costly . . . subjective . . . . difficult to validate . . . local . . . not easily updated . . . theoretically incorrect when it ignored the potential for unused capacity" (p. 7), TDABC modified the conventional system "by eliminating the need to interview and survey employees for allocating resource costs to activities before driving them down to cost objects (orders, products, and customers).
Time-driven activity based costing involves a two step process. The first, "the TDABC model calculates the cost of supplying resource capacity . . . personnel, supervision, occupancy, equipment and technology" (p. 8). "It divides this total cost by the capacity--the time available from the employees actually performing the work--of the department to obtain the capacity cost rate" (p. 8). The second step, "TDABC uses the capacity cost rate to drive departmental resource costs to cost objects by estimating the demand for resource capacity . . . that each cost object requires"(p. 8).
PRACTICAL APPLICATION
Capacity cost rate = Cost of capacity supplied
----------------------------------------------
Practical capacity of resources supplied
Capacity cost rate = $567,000
------------------------------------------------
630,000 minutes = $0.90 per minute
TDABC estimates of customer related activities:
Process customer orders : 8 minutes
Handle customer inquiries: 44 minutes
Perform credit check: 50 minutes
TDABC COST DRIVERS
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Activity Unit time (minutes) Rates (at $0.90/minute)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Process customer order 8 $ 7.20
Handle customer inquiry 44 $39.60
Perform credit check 50 $45.00
Used capacity
Unused capacity (8.2)
As a tool for future decision making, the TDABC allows managers to develop trends of data over time. Modifications to the tool occur from new activities, for example, changes in time due to more complicated or custom processes, changes in cost rates, due to automation or increased efficiencies, such as the implementation of quality programs. Therefore, the system adapts to changes in circumstances.
To estimate processing time, the first principal of TDABC, enterprise resource planning systems aid companies in accumulating data, such as cubic meters, kilograms, gigabytes, and bauds. Global positioning systems and radio frequency identification devices facilitate accumulating data. Having detailed and complete business process diagrams simplifies calculating time estimates. The author argued that the granularity at the transaction level provided greater accuracy for users of TDABC. Recommending steps for implementation, the authors suggested the following: "begin with the most costly processes . . . define the scope of the process . . . determine the key drivers of time . . . use readily available driver variables . . . start simple . . . engage operational personnel to help build and validate the model" (p. 36).
The second principal, aggregating the cost of capacity supplied, consolidates all department costs--"the compensation of frontline employees and their supervisors; occupancy, technology, and other equipment costs; and the costs of corporate staff functions that support the work performed" (p. 41). How companies determine these costs vary depending on the nature of the business and the degree of specificity desired. For example, equipment costs can apply historical, replacement costs, or the "opportunity cost of the investment in the equipment"(p. 43). The second part of this equation, practical capacity, "can be estimated somewhat arbitrarily or studied analytically. The arbitrary approach assumes that practical capacity is a specified percentage, say, 80 or 85 percent, of theoretical capacity" (p. 52). Similarly, equipment might register 15 to 20 percent downtime. Enterprise resource planning systems might record actual repair time, startups, downtime, vacation and sick time for equipment and employees. Although actual costs from accounting systems supply readily available numbers, some firms elect to use budgeted, normalized costs.
The remainder of the book covered the implementation of TDABC and some case studies, of organizations as diverse as an historical black university (HBU), for-profit companies, and not-for profit organizations. The authors address the transformation of customers from unprofitable to profitable with the TDABC system. They end the book by responding to frequently asked questions.
Monday, October 26, 2009
Carlson, R. C.(2005). The new rules of retirement: Strategies for a secure future. New York: John Wiley & Sons.
Monday, October 5, 2009
Kiyosaki: Rich Dad's Prophecy 2002
ERISA, according to the author, caused employees with 401(k), 403(b), and other plans to plot their own financial future and rely on the vagaries of the stock market, fluctuating from business cycles. ERISA resulted in the change from DB plans, defined benefit, to DC, defined contribution, plans. The first, defined benefit plans, specified the amount an employee would receive from the length of employment and the term of service. Although not related to a company and regulated by the government, social security conforms to the definition of a defined benefit plan. In contrast, the DC plan returns to employees the amount of contributions, if any, that they have made to the plan. Companies can switch from DB to DC plans, forcing retirees to adjust to the transition. Many workers have not made contributions to their DC plans and, therefore, face a lifetime of employment.
The second lesson, that of the flaws of ERISA, applied to the requirements of the law. It mandates that participants begin making withdrawals to their accounts at the age of seventy, a mass divestiture of funds, which will depress the stock market. Another flaw concerns the source of education of investors--the financial community itself. Kiyosaki concluded that "financial education today is really a sales pitch" (p. 63). The final flaw entails the tax penalties that retirees will incur from early withdrawals from a 401(k). "Portfolio income is primarily from capital gains, which is typically the type of income you will earn from investments. The maximum capital gains rate for investments held for one year is 20 percent. The rate decreases to 18 percent for investments held for five or more years . . . If you hold your investments outside of a 401(k), the tax rate on gains would be 18 percent-20 percent. If, however, you hold these same investments inside a 401(k), . . that withdrawn income is ordinary income, taxed at the highest rate. That means a 401(k) plan doubles your tax rate from the capital gains rate (18-20 percent) to the ordinary tax rate (38 percent).
The author predicted that when retirees start to divest their assets, according to the plan, they will panic and transfer their wealth into cash, with a subsequent decline in the stock market. As an antidote to the impending crisis, Kiyosaki offered his prescription for the future.
He used the Noah's ark analogy in describing a plan of "taking control of the ark" (p. 145). The plan contained three elements, cash flow, leverage, and control. To understand how how his cash flowed, Kiyosaki completed a financial statement every month. He suggested that before a person invests or starts a business, he or she develop and review their financial statement. He recommended that every person, who seeks control of their ark, (1) compile and analyze his or her financial statement, "find a bookkeeper or accountant . . . make an appointment with an accountant or bookkeeper to review your financial statements to make sure you have completed them properly . . . analyze where you are today and what changes you need to make in your investing habits" (p. 153).
Kiyosaki based his system on accounting, which began with four quadrants of E (employee), B (big business), S (self-employed or small business owner), and I (investor). These designations divided the four ways people make money. To educate individuals in each of the quadrants, Kiyosaki illustrated the two fundamental statements of accounting, the income statement and the balance sheet. Contrary to most accounting principles, Kiyosaki defined financial terms as follows: "Assets cash flow money into the income column . . . Liabilities cash flow money into and out of the expense column" (p. 176). He offered this lesson, "the relationship of cash flow between an income statement and a balance sheet that tells if something is an asset or a liability" (p. 176). Therefore, what a person perceives as an asset can become a liability.
Similar to the distinction between assets and liabilities, Kiyosaki distinguished good debt from bad and good interest from bad. Good debt created wealth; bad debt purchased a car. Good interest generates tax-free income; bad interest penalizes the individual with taxable interest.
Businesses start small and grow large. Kiyosaki invests in PREPs (private real estate partnerships, a private partnership that is formed to buy a large real estate investment, such as a storage warehouse) and in triple net lease real estate ("triple net means that in addition to their lease payment, the tenant pays for the maintenance of the building, the insurance, the taxes, and structural repairs"). Kiyosaki warned that these investments necessitate large down payments and do not provide a commission for brokers, who seldom recommend them.
Kiyosaki urged readers, who sincerely want to control their ark to do the following:
"Challenge yourself to find a minimum of five hours a week to devote to building your ark . . .
"Visit a real estate broker to inquire about investment properties. Spend dinner one night a week discussing new business ideas. Attend franchise shows in your area. Attend local seminars on real estate, building businesses, or investing in the stock market. Decide which asset class you want to start with: business, real estate, or investing in stocks and/or options" (p. 226).
Vigilance means constant attentiveness. An attentive person remains true to his or her word; he or she will "keep an open mind and . . . ears tuned for change . . . learn to read financial statements . . . use technology . . . watch for bigness . . . watch for changes in the laws . . . watch for inflation . . . pay close attention to government's handling of its social programs (pp. 224-226).
To build the ark, perform the following tasks:
Grow your own company
Name your business
Begin to seek funding sources
Search for outside advisers
Select your business entity and form it
Obtain any necessary licenses and permits
Set up a relationship with you banker
Protect proprietary information
Write a business plan
Select your location
Form your service procedures
Plan ahead for bookkeeping, accounting, and office systems
Decide on pricing strategies
Determine employee needs
Prepare your marketing plan
Seek insurance coverage
Address legal issues
Fine-tune your cash flow budget
Set up your office
Hire employees
Announce your business
Buy a company
Buy a franchise
Join network marketing
Entry cost is low and there are training programs to help you succeed. The companies are typically based on direct sales with home-business opportunities
Invest in Small Real Estate Properties
Kiyosaki suggests that investors strategize to become rich, according to his definition of rich, protect themselves from extreme market gyrations and crashes, and diversity. For adequate leadership, he instructed investors to have a team of advisers, to meet with them regularly, to ask questions and make decisions, to learn from mistakes. As to areas for meaningful self-advancements, Kiyosaki advised investors to "Invest some time finding the long- and short-term reasons why you want to learn something . . . Invest sometime in learning the technical knowledge required to achieve your goals . . . invest some time learning via real-life trial and error" (pp. 263-264). "Stock options investing . . . sales and sales training . . . real estate investing . . . building a business . . . raising capital" (p. 265).
Monday, June 1, 2009
Ken Fisher: The Ten Roads to Riches
If you find yourself in a leadership position, Fisher urged readers to lead from the front, acting in ways that followers can emulate--working the hours that they work, flying the class that they fly (coach or business), and working as a team. If you occupy the middle class with a average job and salary, Fisher recommends that you save and invest in stock, in up times and down. With compound interest and stock growth, you will increase wealth.
Recommended reading
How to win friends and influence people, Dale Carnegie
You'll see it when you believe it. Wayne Dyer
The psychology of selling, Brian Tracy
The difference maker, John Maxwell
Confidence, by Roseabeth Kanter
See you at the Top, Zig Ziglar
Spin Selling, Neil Rackham
Fisher, K. (2009). The ten roads to riches: The ways the wealthy got there (And how you can too!). Hoboken, NJ: John Wiley & Sons.
Saturday, April 25, 2009
Thomsett, M. C.: Annual Reports 101
To verify the validity of the financial information, the reader can apply tests of "capital strength, profitability, and growth potential--whether these key factors are highlighted in the material that the company choose to show you or not" (p. 2). Therefore, the author answers his initial question with an emphatic 'no'. By educating the reader on basic accounting principles, focusing on the subtleties of the annual report footnotes and its organization, and explaining the manipulations of auditors, the author attempts to increase of transparency of these compliance documents.
Annual reports represent the final stage of a three-step accounting process, bookkeeping, decision making, and reporting. Thomsett concentrated on three reports, the balance sheet, summary of operations (income statement), and the statement of cash flows.
Three areas of financial statements, working capital, capitalization, and profitability, employ ratios.
"1. Working capital
The current ratio compares current assets and liabilities
The quick assets ratio is similar to the current ratio, but without inventory
Inventory turnover compares inventory and direct costs.
2. Capitalization
The debt ratio shows the sources from which operations are funded
3. Profitability
Gross margin compares gross profit to revenues
Expense level is a study of expenses as a percentage of revenue.
Net return compare earning to revenue" (p. 55).
"In addition to the ratio in thee three classification, you can learn a lot by checking dividend yield and the consitency of dividend paid over time, the well known P/E ratio, and some technical indicator, such a the 52-week price range and a review of the trading range" (p. 55).
The working capital ratio indicates the size of a company's pool of cash, its liquidity needed in order to function--pay debts, meet payroll, buy inventory, expand.
Formula Current assets
Current liabilities = x to y
"A general standard for the current ratio is 2 to 1. A company is considered to be in good shape if its current ratio is 2 to 1 or better" (p. 56).
The quick asset ratio, a variation of the current ratio, excludes inventory. "The general standard defining a 'good' level for the quick asset ratio is 1 to 1. So if the quick assets are equal to or higher than the total current liabilities, that is acceptable" (p. 58).
Another dimension of working capital, inventory turnovers, reflects an average based on average inventory levels.
Formula Direct costs of goods sold
Average Inventory = Turns
"There is no single standard for an 'acceptable' number of turns. However, by studying a corporation's inventory turnover over time, you can spot trends . . . in the best of all worlds, turnover would remain steady even when revenues grow substantially. However, there is a tendency for turnover to slow down with greater volume" (p. 60).
"Captialization is simply the funding of a company. It comes from two general sources. Equity is provided by investors, who expect dividends and stock price appreciation. Debt comes from lenders, who expect periodic interest payments and repayment of the amount loaned" (p. 61).
Formula long-term debt to equity ratio
Long-term debt
Long-term debt + stockholders' equity = long-term debt to equity ratio
"Outcomes are not always what they seem. It is possible to conclude that working capital is healthy without realizing that the ratio has been created by growth in long-term debt. Invariable, apparent trends have to be confirmed by also checking other, related trends.
Profitability
Formula Gross Margin Gross profit
Revenues = Gross Margin
"Gross margin becomes meaningful only if and when an established level changes . . . it should remain constant" (pp. 65-66).
Formula Expense level Expenses
Revenues = Expense level
Formula Net operating profit
Revenue = Net return
Formula Earnings per Share Net operating Profit
Total shares outstanding = EPS
Formula Dividend Yield Dividend paid
Share price = Dividend yield
"Dividend yield is meaningful only in relation to the price you pay for stock. After that, changes in the yield don't affect you.
Formula P/E ratio Share price
EPS = P/E
"The P/E ratio can be very unreliable unless it users current information for both sides of the equation" (p. 71).
Technical Indicators
Thomsett defined fundamental and technical indicators as follows, "the financial, also called fundamental, indicators include revenues, earnings, capitalization, and dividends declared and paid . . . the nonfinancial, also called technical, indicators include high and low stock prices during the year and the year-end stock price per share" (p. 72). In his 'Key point' box, the author made the following point, "the 52-week high/low can mislead you and cause you to reach an inaccurate conclusion. You should also review a 52-week price chart to spot the trend within that trading range"m (p. 73). He listed these reasons to question the technical indicator, the trading range might include a nonrecurring spike . . . the price might be showing an upward trend . . . the price might be showing a downward trend . . . volatility in price might make it impossible to spot a trend" (p. 73).